Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 6.715803 7.397914 8.125577 8.960674 9.893907 10.906185 12.089322
2025-11-23 5.582862 6.521893 7.591862 8.905834 10.482194 12.320168 14.636587
2025-11-30 4.900407 6.013577 7.354536 9.099688 11.326563 14.093941 17.825878
2025-12-07 4.278396 5.470678 6.975672 9.033457 11.802618 15.440856 20.650364
2025-12-14 3.745268 4.958919 6.553167 8.827750 12.033698 16.457461 23.140010
2025-12-21 3.375021 4.609300 6.289351 8.780048 12.441605 17.726890 26.118364
2025-12-28 3.154761 4.434332 6.234822 9.002190 13.236510 19.618402 30.252147
2026-01-04 2.954716 4.262586 6.159156 9.172027 13.955174 21.459884 34.545302
2026-01-11 2.747778 4.057395 6.008562 9.202132 14.445493 22.981878 38.506973
2026-01-18 2.541209 3.831766 5.802050 9.115613 14.725899 24.176054 42.050504
2026-01-25 2.351303 3.614110 5.585791 8.985979 14.910126 25.212661 45.435683
2026-02-01 2.180378 3.411513 5.374254 8.839347 15.041249 26.157615 48.764156
2026-02-08 2.029352 3.232356 5.190914 8.731627 15.244760 27.285746 52.683815
2026-02-15 1.903256 3.084633 5.047797 8.680475 15.545913 28.634588 57.272438
2026-02-22 1.830020 3.019913 5.039863 8.869880 16.317315 30.986056 64.362980
2026-03-01 1.722621 2.887694 4.902714 8.806073 16.589385 32.370481 69.561538
2026-03-08 1.604848 2.728363 4.704269 8.606456 16.566721 33.138579 73.472968
2026-03-15 1.519966 2.621305 4.591532 8.560232 16.848350 34.581260 79.218294
2026-03-22 1.477497 2.587854 4.611331 8.776166 17.700469 37.379418 88.802999
2026-03-29 1.431160 2.543622 4.606765 8.941229 18.460149 40.068388 98.619621
2026-04-05 1.371529 2.470064 4.539957 8.970497 18.921559 42.121818 107.136995
2026-04-12 1.303252 2.375341 4.424692 8.886439 19.115805 43.557793 114.221029
2026-04-19 1.235435 2.277110 4.295409 8.760478 19.198618 44.728782 120.774037